confidence over uncertainty

While uncertainty is a hallmark of rational thought, people and institutions crave bold confidence and decisive action.
Socially, the repercussions of slowing down, pondering, and thinking are seen as indecisive and wishy-washy, which undermines the authority of a leader.

Making wise decisions requires time, and quality forecasting involves information. Which leaders cannot afford lest they lose their leadership.

Unfortunately, humans persistently promote hubristic myopia because we cannot cope with indeterminacy.

(“Acting on pretend knowledge is often the preferred solution.” Dr. Daniel Kahneman, Thinking Fast, and Slow)




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