We cannot grasp the full causal web behind any event—its linkages sprawl into near-infinite detail.
So we simplify: we model the visible threads, stitch coincidences into a satisfying "cause."
Expand the model far enough, however, and it becomes a conspiracy. As the network grows, correlations weaken and fray; what remains dominant is not evidence but an emotionally directed story that "feels truer" than a mass of fragmented facts.